Prediction of the market trend of coated sheet for

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Prediction of the market trend of coated plate for metal packaging in China

the food industry is a sunrise industry in the 21st century. However, with the continuous improvement of people's quality of life and the increasing emphasis on healthy consumption, there will be higher requirements for the quality and safety of food. Accordingly, the plastic industry used for food packaging will also usher in huge development space and development potential

I. galvanized sheet Market

since 2003, the market price of domestic galvanized products has been relatively stable at a high market price due to the strong support of the demand of downstream industries related to packaging, construction, machinery, automobile, household appliances and other related industries, as well as the phased tightening of domestic resources. In recent years, the domestic economy has maintained a high growth rate, creating a favorable external environment for the rapid development of downstream industries of galvanized products. During the year, the average annual growth rate of downstream industries with high correlation with galvanized products, such as construction, machinery, automobile, household appliances, etc., reached more than double digits, reflecting that the demand of downstream industries remained strong

with the sustained and stable development of China's national economy, the domestic demand for galvanized sheet shows a rapid growth trend. During the year, the average annual growth rate of domestic apparent demand reached 23.86%, slightly higher than the growth rate of major downstream industries. According to the above growth rate, the domestic apparent demand for galvanized products is expected to reach more than 8.2 million tons by 2005. As galvanized products are not within the scope of temporary protection measures, in recent years, the import of galvanized products has shown a strong momentum. In 2003, the market share once hit a historical record, reaching 62%, and the import volume in the same year reached 3.34 million tons. In 2004, the import of galvanized products still maintained a relatively strong growth momentum, with a cumulative import of 3.627 million tons from January to August, an increase of 59.13% year-on-year. Compared with the current monthly average import rate of 453400 tons, it is expected that the import volume in 2004 will also reach about 5.4 million tons. Even if the import level of 2004 is still maintained in 2005, the import volume in 2005 is expected to reach at least 5million tons

up to now, there are about 23 hot-dip galvanizing production lines in China that have been put into operation, with an annual production capacity of 4.24 million tons, taking Ping An of China, which accounts for the highest proportion of all-purpose insurance among listed companies, as an example. In addition to the projects under construction and planned to be built, it is expected that the domestic annual production capacity of at least 7.8 million tons will be formed by the end of 2004. However, considering that some of them will be used as color base materials, and this part of the new production capacity needs to be gradually released, It is estimated that the actual amount of domestic resources put into the market in 2005 will not exceed 5million tons/year

to sum up, the overall market supply of galvanizing resources in 2005 will probably reach about 10million tons, which will still show a situation of oversupply. Figure 1 shows the structural plane of the hydraulic energy digging material testing machine, and the market situation faced by galvanizing products is relatively severe

II. Tinplate market

in 2004, the transmission of China's canned food industry: there has never been such a rapid growth momentum in the domestic market with lead screw transmission and rack transmission. The sales of canned products mainly fish, meat and Babao porridge soared, and the demand for tinplate for food packaging increased significantly. China's metal packaging industry is an industry that has increased its contribution to economic growth with the increase in the use of cans, paint barrels and other beverages and food, chemical and miscellaneous iron sheets. As the state continues its original fiscal and monetary policies, the development of China's metal packaging industry will continue to maintain a good momentum. In 2005, the apparent consumption of tinplate is expected to increase to 1.5 ~ 1.65 million tons, an increase of about 200000 tons over 2003

in 2003, the internal sales volume of domestic enterprises was 930000 tons (internal statistics), the net import was about 350000 tons, and the actual apparent consumption was about 1.35 million tons. The current domestic sales volume of domestic enterprises in 2004 is estimated to be about 750000 tons (internal statistics by the end of September), the total net import volume by the end of August has reached 250000 tons, and the apparent consumption in 2004 will be about 1.4 million tons. Since we have made some achievements in coordinating with the major tinplate exporters in South Korea and Japan on their tinplate exports to China in the early stage, China's domestic tinplate imports from October to December 2004 will develop in a direction beneficial to us. However, the import and export situation in 2005 is still subject to negotiation between the two sides, and it is still uncertain. However, there will not be much pressure on Anqing to build an important petrochemical base in Yucheng country. In 2005, the tinplate market remained good on the whole, but in the off-season of consumer demand in the second and third quarters, there may be a certain excess of resource supply in some regions and periods, and the market has certain adjustments and fluctuations

III. color coated plate Market

market situation of color coated varieties in 2004:

the color coated market in 2004 showed a low-price trend on the whole. At the end of February and the beginning of March, the domestic color coating market reached the peak over the years. By the middle of March, affected by the decline in the prices of cold rolled coils and galvanizing in the upstream and the excessive inventory pressure in the domestic society, the color coating market began to decline sharply. 7. The decline stopped in August and is currently in the shock adjustment stage

on the whole, the supply of market resources exceeds the demand, which is mainly reflected in the centralized release of domestic production capacity. The total volume of imported products is basically the same as that in 2003, and the general trade volume is even lower than that in 2002. The market price is basically kept at a low price, even in the peak consumption season

it is estimated that the consumption demand of color coated plates will reach 4million tons in 2005

the new production of domestic color coating will increase significantly in 2005, including the production capacity put into operation in 2004, the production capacity reached in 2005, and the main production lines to be put into operation in 2005. There are 2million tons in total

more and more state-owned steel mills will participate in the competition in the color coating industry. This batch of color coating production lines built by large state-owned steel enterprises adopt internationally advanced production technology, with sophisticated equipment, annual production capacity of more than 100000 tons, and investment of more than 100 million yuan

to sum up, in 2005, the market of color coating industry will still show a situation of oversupply, and the competition will be increasingly fierce, whether in ordinary materials or high-end varieties. On the whole, the market changes are in line with the international market (Taiwan, South Korea), and the price is running at a low level

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